2008年8月26日星期二

爆煲先兆?

由海域事件、到聯洲因為應收帳爆煲,到最近德發非執董集體「棄船」,基金已經成為「驚弓之鳥」,一旦公司有不利消息,都會唔問價沽貨。

上周有個報告都值得講下,又係摩根大通,佢地估由於經濟大環境逆轉,嚟緊一段時段都會係困難,現金勝於一切。

更要留意係過去兩年,唔少公司都大事擴張,中小企資金管理情況需要留意。

首要留意,都唔使多講,是公司負債水平,以及營運資金對銷售比率,以判斷呢的公司資金管理係咪完善,警戒線是負債比率一旦超過三成,就要留意。

太細公司其實大家無咩興趣(專炒二、三線的除外,但呢類股分又有咩基本價值好睇?)、因此不難歸納為有危機公司,摩通就統計過,市值夠一億美金嘅公司,最少廿四間資金管理欠佳。

點名提到有安德利果汁,同海升果汁,06如07年負債比率都高於一倍樓上。

至於已經爆煲就有宜進利,負債比率其實早由舊年兩成幾,升至超過一倍。

最慘係批接貴貨的員工,聽聞之前大老闆仲向員工「吹雞」,點之今次真係要輸突!

另一間值得留意係百營環球,負債比率由舊年一成6,升至今年一倍。

有銀行話,無論有無上市都好,近月已經加強留意中小型貸款情況,部分更追收貨款,而對於近日需要進行再融資公司,貸款息率亦比之前高一倍。

如果經濟無法扭轉目前悶局,睇落去都令人幾擔心!

5 則留言:

亞羊 說...

咁果隻"on-kong"又算不算???
去年供股... 今年股價化為烏有....
真係咩... 咩... 咩...

匿名 說...

Pls pay attention to this..

http://www21.discuss.com.hk/viewthread.php?tid=7962550&extra=page%3D1

and pls do MORE animations on the various slides' presentation, try not to put up presentations which seemed like being editted by powerpoint-like software, they all look so so cheap!

Thank you so much!

Simon

匿名 說...

and would the blogger please make some response? accumulated questions are not answered!!

MoneyCafe 說...

很不幸,宜進利今天證實欠缺了流動資金,證明又一爆煲。

一間上市公司股價大瀉,即使當初財政狀況幾健全,資金流幾理想,一旦有負面消息爆出,賣家會要你即時找數、買家會拖你數,更重要係你的債權銀行會「落下收柴」,公司其實已經死左一半。

最近洗倉的是330.....

匿名 說...

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